Your portfolio is probably fully invested 100% of the time, with no real allocation changes
to protect your capital in Bear Markets. The chart below shows our track record at stepping aside and stepping back into the market when appropriate.

Read more about our investment process here.


Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Actual performance may vary. Additional information is available upon request.

Why We Are Different

Our Proprietary Dynamic Decision-Making Process involves a Top-Down Approach paired with Macro Economic Analysis, with a strong emphasis on timing. We have a strong risk management strategy in place, positioning the portfolios defensively when necessary and aggressively when appropriate.

Our purpose is to be efficiently invested and protect your capital by avoiding Bear Markets (mitigating the lows), while being properly invested in Bull Markets early.

Your benefit is to establish a defensive or aggressive portfolio positioning as defined by the main market trend, while taking advantage of investment opportunities as they arise.

To learn more about the roots of our investment process click here.

What We Do

Most conventional portfolios are designed to succeed in a “growth increasing” environment only, remaining overweight on assets that perform well in such economic scenario (beta portfolios).

To learn more about our investment process click here.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Actual performance may vary. Additional information is available upon request.
  • As a result, they under perform and can be severely punished in any other type of economic environment.
  • Additionally, it’s not if, but when the next Bear Market occurs. Will you have a reliable risk management strategy in place to protect your capital?

Our portfolio strategy is primarily focused on two factors: Growth and Inflation, which ultimately determine the performance of asset classes. Therefore, we strive to balance portfolios by allocating assets according to economic and inflationary conditions (alpha portfolios) and supported by economic data where Growth, Inflation and Central Bank Policy play an important role.

We are open to working with professionals on your existing team or custodian institution.

Clients retain all ownership of securities at their custodian bank or broker-dealer.

It takes experience to hand down a business
and the proper training to make it succeed under the next generation…
The same applies to your liquid assets.

Who We Are

Saul A. Padilla

  • Registered Investment Adviser
  • “Keep the Investment Process SIMPLE.”

Managing Member and founder of Greenwich Creek Capital Management LLC, bringing over 30 years of experience in managing discretionary and non-discretionary investment portfolios for wealthy families and institutions. His main focus is to protect invested capital by re-balancing the allocation of cash, equities, fixed income and alternative investments, while closely monitoring macro-economic indicators and market trends to determine the transition phase between the completion of a Bull Market and the beginning of a Bear Market. He started his career in early 1987 mainly managing family financial investments.

In 1991, joined Shearson Lehman Brothers Private Clients Services International Division. In 2000, he joined Morgan Stanley Private Wealth Management. In 2003, he joined EFG Capital International, the U.S. broker dealer of EFG Bank in Switzerland.

Maria R. Hurd, CMT

Maria earned a Bachelor of the Arts degree from the College of William & Mary in 2013. After graduating, she decided to join Greenwich Creek Capital Management. She is also a member of the CMT Association, completing all three levels of the professional designation.

Risk Management Record

Avoided the Internet Bubble (2001/2003) and the Bear Market that followed almost completely.

Completely avoided the Subprime Mortgage Crisis (2008/2009) and the Bear Market that followed.

Avoided the short-lived Bear Market in the Fall of 2011.

Avoided the Bear Market in the winter 2015 / 2016.

Taking timely long (buying) positions at the beginning of the new uptrends after every
single one of the aforementioned Bear Markets…

To learn more about our strategy click here.